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The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.President of Hilton Asia Pacific: India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade. According to the data of the World Tourism and Travel Council, in 2023, Indian tourists spent $34.2 billion on outbound travel. Allen Watts, president of Hilton Asia Pacific, said that compared with the future, the current level of Indian outbound travel consumption is "negligible". "The story of India is unfolding before us," he said. "India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade." According to the World Tourism and Travel Council's Economic Impact in 2024 report, by 2034, the outbound spending of Indian tourists is expected to more than double, reaching 76.8 billion US dollars, which will make India's position in the global tourism consumption country rise from the 12th in 2023 to the 7th.Mackler M, Governor of the Bank of Canada: (Regarding the potential tariff policy) We can't make policies based on what may happen. If the (US) tariffs are implemented as promised, it will cause serious damage to the Canadian economy.

Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".The full implementation of the personal pension system may bring more medium and long-term funds, and the allocation value of the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) has attracted much attention. On December 12, the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) closed up 1.07%, with a turnover of 92.5438 million yuan. The constituent stocks were all red, with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by 2.47%, Kweichow Moutai rising by 1.97% and Wuliangye rising by 1.62%. China Merchants Bank and China Ping An followed suit. In the news, since December 15th, the personal pension system has been extended to the whole country, and the first batch of 85 index funds have been included in the product range, which has attracted attention, including 12 Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index funds and 300ETF(159925) in South China. According to industry insiders, since the personal pension fund system came into being, both personal pension funds and sales organizations have steadily expanded. The increase of fund products and the continuous addition of new sales organizations will bring more medium and long-term funds to the capital market, and the Southern CSI 300ETF(159925) will benefit in the medium and long term.The State Council agrees in principle with the Master Plan of Fuzhou Land and Space (2021-2035), and the State Council agrees in principle with the Master Plan of Fuzhou Land and Space (2021-2035) approved by the Ministry of Natural Resources. By 2035, the cultivated land in Fuzhou will be no less than 1,421,300 mu, of which the permanent basic farmland protection area will be no less than 1,267,200 mu; The red line area of ecological protection is not less than 5082.05 square kilometers, of which the red line area of marine ecological protection is not less than 2671.73 square kilometers; The border area of urban development is controlled within 1000.63 square kilometers; The use area of construction land per unit GDP decreased by not less than 40%; The retention rate of natural coastline on the mainland is not lower than the tasks assigned by the higher authorities, of which it will be not lower than 40.31% in 2025; The total water consumption shall not exceed the indicators issued by the higher authorities, including 2.80 billion cubic meters in 2025; Except for major national projects, reclamation is completely prohibited; Strictly manage uninhabited islands. Clarify the key prevention and control areas of natural disaster risks, delimit risk control lines such as floods and earthquakes, as well as green space system lines, water body protection lines, historical and cultural protection lines and infrastructure construction control lines, and implement safety guarantee spaces such as strategic mineral resources.

Adobe's US stocks fell about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.EU finalizes new sanctions against Russia: strike against the "shadow fleet". According to a report on the website of German newspaper Sü ddeutsche Zeitung on December 11th, EU countries have reached an agreement on a new package of sanctions against Russia. Several diplomats told DPA that the new sanctions were aimed at strengthening the crackdown on the so-called "Russian shadow fleet" transporting oil and petroleum products. It is reported that more than 50 ships will be banned from entering EU ports. In addition, they can no longer get the services of EU enterprises. In June this year, the EU has taken preliminary measures to blacklist more than 20 Russian ships. It is reported that this is the 15th package of sanctions against Russia drawn up by the EU so far. The plan also stipulates that trade with more than 30 other business entities should be restricted, and the EU has determined that they should keep in touch with the Russian defense and security departments. In addition, the EU also plans to impose an entry ban and asset freeze on some individuals. According to the report, senior EU officials are pleased that member States have reached a consensus on this. Kaya Karas, the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, said: "This will further weaken (Russian President) Putin's war machine." Roberta Metsola, Speaker of the European Parliament, said: "This sends another strong signal: our support for Ukraine will not weaken." The sanctions plan will be officially confirmed at the meeting of foreign ministers of member States in Brussels on the 16th, and then will be published in the official gazette of the European Union and come into effect. (Reference message)